The Indian Super League (ISL) 2025/26 season promises to be one of the most exciting editions in recent years with no room for second chances in single legged format. While familiar powerhouses continue to dominate the conversation, several clubs are entering the season with renewed ambition, improved squads, and tactical clarity. Instead of a traditional league table prediction, having a look at each team through title-winning probability offers a clearer and more realistic outlook. The calculations include the probability of each individual match outcome — win, draw, or loss, which reflect both historical data and recent team performances. These probabilities also account for the relative strength of opponents, ensuring stronger teams are weighted appropriately across fixtures.
Mohun Bagan SG – 28.20% Title Chance
Mohun Bagan SG remains the benchmark of Indian football. With exceptional squad depth, a proven winning mentality, and experience in high-pressure matches, they enter ISL 2025/26 as clear favourites. Even during inconsistent phases, Mohun Bagan somehow finds ways to secure results. Unless injuries or complacency intervene, they are the strongest contenders for the ISL title.
FC Goa – 20.90% Title Chance
FC Goa continue to impress with a defined footballing identity built around possession-based attacking football. Their ability to control matches makes them one of the most dangerous teams in the league. However, defensive stability and consistency across the season will determine how far they go. If those aspects improve, FC Goa could seriously challenge for the ISL trophy.
East Bengal FC – 14.60% Title Chance
East Bengal FC appear set for a breakthrough season. After years of rebuilding, the club finally shows signs of structure, balance, and tactical clarity. Improved recruitment and growing confidence could help them sustain performances over the season. While pressure remains high, ISL 2025/26 may mark East Bengal’s return as genuine title contenders.
Jamshedpur FC – 11.90% Title Chance
Jamshedpur FC thrive as dark horses. Known for their discipline and organisation, they are extremely difficult to break down. Their ability to frustrate stronger teams and capitalise on mistakes makes them dangerous opponents. If consistency improves and close matches tilt in their favour, Jamshedpur could mount a surprise ISL title challenge.
Punjab FC – 08.40% Title Chance
Punjab FC are among the most improved teams heading into ISL 2025/26. Once considered underdogs, they have steadily upgraded their squad and tactical approach. While winning the league would still be a major upset, their rise into contention reflects significant progress and ambition within the club.
Bengaluru FC – 06.10% Title Chance
Bengaluru FC’s strength lies in experience and structure. Although they may lack explosive attacking firepower compared to top contenders, their discipline and composure keep them competitive. A title-winning campaign would require near-perfect execution, but Bengaluru FC’s pedigree ensures they remain in the conversation.
North East United FC – 05.00% Title Chance
North East United FC remains one of the most unpredictable teams in the Indian Super League. When momentum builds, their pace and intensity can overwhelm opponents. However, inconsistency has limited their progress in past seasons. If they find early stability, they could disrupt the playoff race and challenge expectations.
Mumbai City FC – 03.20% Title Chance
Mumbai City FC enter ISL 2025/26 in a transitional phase. While individual quality still exists, questions surround squad balance and tactical identity. They are capable of moments of brilliance but sustaining a full-season title challenge may be difficult unless cohesion develops quickly.
Odisha FC – 01.90% Title Chance
Odisha FC possess attacking talent but struggle with consistency and defensive control. Strong phases are often undone by lapses in concentration. Without achieving balance across the pitch, their title ambitions remain limited, placing them firmly among the outsiders.
Inter Kashi FC – <1% Title Chance
Inter Kashi FC’s debut ISL season is primarily about adaptation. While they can compete and cause occasional upsets, experience gaps are likely to appear across a long campaign. A mid-table finish would represent a successful introduction to top-flight Indian football.
Kerala Blasters FC – <1% Title Chance
Kerala Blasters FC continue to be one of the most intriguing yet inconsistent teams in the league. Despite possessing talent and massive fan support, instability and pressure moments often derail progress. Without tactical continuity and mental resilience, a sustained ISL title challenge looks unlikely.
Chennaiyin FC – <1% Title Chance
Chennaiyin FC enters ISL 2025/26 with significant uncertainty. Squad balance, form, and consistency remain key concerns. While surprises are always possible in football, expecting a title push would be unrealistic. The focus will be on rebuilding and stabilising performances.
SC Delhi – <1% Title Chance
In their debut ISL campaign, SC Delhi’s primary objective is survival. Adjusting to the league’s intensity and maintaining cohesion will be challenging. Competing against established teams week after week makes a title challenge improbable, but valuable experience will be gained.
Mohammedan SC – <1% Title Chance
Mohammedan SC face a steep learning curve in the Indian Super League. Limited squad depth and top-level experience reduce their chances of sustained success. While occasional upsets are possible, the season will largely be about adaptation and long-term development.
Final Verdict: ISL 2025/26 Season Outlook
The ISL 2025/26 season could mark a shift in the league’s hierarchy. While Mohun Bagan SG and FC Goa remain favourites, clubs like East Bengal FC, Jamshedpur FC, and Punjab FC are closing the gap rapidly. With several traditional giants facing transitional phases, this season promises unpredictability and intense competition than ever before.
